The April index rose 2.4 points from 72.2 in the previous month, and was the highest reading since March last year. The CSSI reflects expectations of market participants for the month ahead. A CSSI reading above 50 indicates an increase/expansion and a reading below 50 indicates a decrease/contraction.

“The latest CSSI shows the seasonal aspect of China’s steel market as March and April in both 2014 and 2015 were by far the strongest months in terms of expectations of new orders,” said Paul Bartholomew, Platts managing editor, steel & steel raw materials. “With Chinese New Year and the coldest winter months now out of the way, construction activity is expected to resume and help drive demand for steel. There has been greater emphasis on domestic demand for steel in the past two months rather than exports, which China relied on heavily last year.”

Platts China Steel Sentiment Index – April 2015
(a figure over 50 indicates expectations of an increase; under 50 indicates a decrease)

The crude steel production reading of 55.3 indicated the market expects output to remain at similar levels to last month. There was a big change in the outlook for steel inventories, with most industry participants expecting steel inventories to start declining after staying high for much of this year.

The monthly Platts CSSI is based on a survey of approximately 50 to 75 China-based market participants including traders, stockists and steel mill operators. The survey of month-ahead sentiment is conducted during the last full working week of each month, with the results published via press release and Platts’ products and services before the 10th of the next month. Platts began tracking steel sector sentiment in China in May 2013.